Aug 4, 2007

Paul Craig Roberts: Return of the robber barons

By Paul Craig Roberts
Creators Syndicate
Thursday, August 2, 2007


As the Bush regime outfits B-2 stealth bombers with 30,000 pound monster "bunker buster" bombs for its coming attack on Iran, the U.S. economy continues its 21st century decline. While profits soar for the armaments industry, the American people continue to take it on the chin.

The latest report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that the real wages and salaries of U.S. civilian workers are below those of five years ago. It could not be otherwise with U.S. corporations offshoring good jobs in order to reduce labor costs and, thereby, to convert wages once paid to Americans into multimillion dollar bonuses paid to CEOs and other top management.

Good jobs that still remain in the United States are increasingly filled with foreign workers brought in on work visas. Corporate public relations departments have successfully spread the lie that there is a shortage of qualified U.S. workers, necessitating the importation into the United States of foreigners. The truth is that the U.S. corporations force their American employees to train the lower-paid foreigners who take their jobs. Otherwise, the discharged American gets no severance pay.

Law firms such as Cohen & Grigsby compete in marketing their services to U.S. corporations on how to evade the law and replace their American employees with lower-paid foreigners. As Lawrence Lebowitz, vice president at Cohen & Grisby, explained in the law firm's marketing video, "Our goal is clearly not to find a qualified and interested U.S. worker."

Meanwhile, U.S. colleges and universities continue to graduate hundreds of thousands of qualified engineers, IT experts and other professionals who will never have the opportunity to work in the jobs for which they have been trained. America today is like India of yesteryear, with engineers working as bartenders, taxi cab drivers and waitresses, and employed in menial work in dog kennels, as the offshoring of U.S. jobs dismantles the ladders of upward mobility for U.S. citizens.

Over the last year (from June 2006 through June 2007), the U.S. economy created 1.6 million net private sector jobs. As Charles McMillion of MBG Information Services reports each month, essentially all of the new jobs are in low-paid domestic services that do not require a college education.

The category "leisure and hospitality" accounts for 30 percent of the new jobs, of which 387,000 are bartenders and waitresses, 38,000 are workers in motels and hotels, and 50,000 are employed in entertainment and recreation.

The category "education and health services" accounts for 35 percent of the gain in employment, of which 100,000 are in educational services and 456,000 are in health care and social assistance, principally ambulatory health care services and hospitals.

"Professional and technical services" accounts for 268,000 of the new jobs. "Finance and insurance" added 93,000 new jobs, of which about one quarter is in real estate and about one half is in insurance. "Transportation and warehousing" added 65,000 jobs, and wholesale and retail trade added 185,000.

Over the entire year, the U.S. economy created merely 51,000 jobs in architectural and engineering services, less than the 76,000 jobs created in management and technical consulting (essentially laid-off white collar professionals).

Except for a well-connected few graduates who find their way into Wall Street investment banks, top law firms and private medical practice, American universities today consist of detention centers to delay for four or five years the entry of American youth into unskilled domestic services.

Meanwhile, the rich are getting much richer and luxuriating in the most fantastic conspicuous consumption since the Gilded Age. Robert Frank has dubbed the new American world of the super-rich "Richistan."

In Richistan, there is a two-year waiting list for $50 million 200-foot yachts. In Richistan, Rolex watches are considered Wal-Mart junk. Richistanians sport $736,000 Franck Muller timepieces and sign their names with $700,000 Mont Blanc jewel-encrusted pens. Their valets, butlers (with $100,000 salaries) and bodyguards carry the $42,000 Louis Vitton handbags of wives and mistresses.

Richistanians join clubs open only to those with $100 million, pay $650,000 for golf club memberships, eat $50 hamburgers and $1,000 omelettes, drink $90 bottles of Bling mineral water and down $10,000 "martinis on a rock" (gin or vodka poured over a diamond) at New York's Algonquin Hotel.

Who are the Richistanians? They are CEOs who have moved their companies abroad and converted the wages they formerly paid Americans into $100 million compensation packages for themselves.

They are investment bankers and hedge fund managers, who created the subprime mortgage derivatives that currently threaten to collapse the economy. One of them was paid $1.7 billion last year. The $575 million that each of 25 other top earners were paid is paltry by comparison, but unimaginable wealth to everyone else.

Some of the super-rich, such as Warren Buffet and Bill Gates, have benefited society along with themselves. Both Buffet and Gates are concerned about the rapidly rising income inequality in the United States. They are aware that America is becoming a feudal society in which the super-rich compete in conspicuous consumption, while the serfs struggle merely to survive.

With the real wages and salaries of American civilian workers lower than five years ago, with their debts at all-time highs, with the prices of their main asset -- their homes -- under pressure from overbuilding and fraudulent finance, and with scant opportunities to rise for the children they struggled to educate, Americans face a dim future.

Indeed, their plight is worse than the official statistics indicate. During the Clinton administration, the Boskin Commission rigged the inflation measures in order to hold down indexed Social Security payments to retirees.

Another deceit is the measure called "core inflation." This excludes food and energy, two large components of the average family's budget. Wall Street and corporations -- and, therefore, the media -- emphasize core inflation because it holds down cost-of-living increases and interest rates. In the second quarter of this year, the Consumer Price Index (CPI), a more complete measure of inflation, increased at an annual rate of 5.2 percent, compared to 2.3 percent for core inflation.

An examination of how inflation is measured quickly reveals the games played to deceive the American people. Housing prices are not in the index. Instead, the rental rate of housing is used as a proxy for housing prices.

More games are played with the goods and services whose prices comprise the weighted market basket used to estimate inflation. If beef prices rise, for example, the index shifts toward lower-priced chicken. Inflation is thus held down by substituting lower-priced products for those whose prices are rising faster. As the weights of the goods in the basket change, the inflation measure does not reflect a constant pattern of expenditures. Some economists compare the substitution used to minimize the measured rate of inflation to substituting sweaters for fuel oil.

Other deceptions, not all intentional, abound in official U.S. statistics. BusinessWeek's June 18 cover story used the recent important work by Susan N. Houseman to explain that much of the hyped gains in U.S. productivity and GDP are "phantom gains" that are not really there.

Other phantom productivity gains are produced by corporations that shift business costs to consumers by, for example, having callers listen to advertisements while they wait for a customer service representative, and by pricing items in the inflation basket according to the low prices of stores that offer customers no service. The longer callers can be made to wait, the fewer the customer representatives the company needs to employ. The loss of service is not considered in the inflation measure. It shows up instead as a gain in productivity.

In American today, the greatest rewards go to investment bankers, who collect fees for creating financing packages for debt. These packages include the tottering subprime mortgage derivatives. Recently, a top official of the Bank of France acknowledged that the real values of repackaged debt instruments are unknown to both buyers and sellers. Many of the derivatives have never been priced by the market.

Think of derivatives as a mutual fund of debt, a combination of good mortgages, subprime mortgages, credit card debt, auto loans and who knows what. Not even institutional buyers know what they are buying or how to evaluate it. Arcane pricing models are used to produce values, and pay incentives bias the assigned values upward.

Richistan wealth may prove artificial and crash, bringing an end to the new Gilded Age. But the plight of the rich in distress will never compare to the decimation of America's middle class. The offshoring of American jobs has destroyed opportunities for generations of Americans. Never before in our history has the elite had such control over the government. To run for national office requires many millions of dollars, the raising of which puts "our" elected representatives and "our" president himself at the beck and call of the few moneyed interests that finance the campaigns.

America as the land of opportunity has passed into history.

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Paul Craig Roberts is a syndicated columnist and economist who has been an editor and columnist for The Wall Street Journal and was assistant treasury secretary under President Reagan.

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